The Night Avery Johnson Lost The Season, The Team, And His Job
It was December 6, 2007, and for a Mavs team reeling from its worst stretch of the season it was just one more blow. At home against the Denver Nuggets the Mavs were sliced and diced by Allan Iverson and dropped their second straight game in the process of losing six in nine. Dirk Nowitzki could have been speaking for head coach Avery Johnson when he described the game: "It was a layup drill out there. At no point in the game I thought we could really stop them."
Avery Johnson puts a lot of emphasis on judging his team in 20 game increments, and after what he saw in the previous 19 games, this loss to Denver was more than a symbolic close to the first 20 games of the season: It was the final straw. He had done everything he said he would do coming into the season. He had let young players like Brandon Bass and J.J. Barea get significant playing time. He had unleashed Devin Harris to control the game and the Mavs offense. He had moved Jason Terry to the bench and increased the size of his shooting guard position. For twenty games Avery Johnson had done what everyone else had told him to do, and for what... a thrashing at the hands of the Nuggets?
The result from Johnson was immediate and severe and led to his losing the season, the team, and ultimately his job.
After the Denver loss, the first thing he did was strip Devin Harris of his freedom to run the offense. Fast breaks and offensive sets built off of transition were removed, as Johnson slowed the game down so that he could call plays and run the offense. For the first 20 games the Mavs offense was clocking in at 90 pace, a significant gain over the previous year's glacial offensive pace. As we noted in a previous column, however, the pace was inconsistent. Twice in November Harris directed back-to-back-to-back games where the first game had a pace of over 95, which was followed up with a game where the pace plummeted to under 84, only to have the pace increase again to over 92. This inability to control the pace of the game clearly drove Johnson crazy, and the low point was, not coincidentally, the Denver game on December 6, where the Mavs played completely at Denver's pace, over 100.
The next five games after Denver the Mavs pace never went over 85 and averaged an almost unbelievably slow pace of 83. To put this into perspective, the slowest team in 2006-2007 was the Detroit Pistons, and they averaged a pace of 86. After Denver, Johnson put the hammer down on Harris, and he never let up.
Denver also was the moment when Johnson gave up on working to improve his bench and grow players into the rotation. He dramatically lowered the minutes of Barea, who had averaged 11.3 minutes per game in November but saw his minutes drop to 7 minutes per game in December and 4 minutes per game in January. Dasagana Diop, who averaged 23 minutes per game in November, found himself riding the pine and averaging 12 minutes per game in December. Even Brandon Bass, who showed real flashes of excellence, saw his minutes cut by over 4 a game from November to December.
In short, after the Denver loss, Avery Johnson lost his perspective on the team, what it needed to do, what HE needed to do, and, perhaps most importantly, the value of listening to advice from others. His response was extreme, and it reverted the Mavericks back to the team that lost in the first round of the playoffs the previous season: A one-dimensional iso-focused offensive team that was eminently beatable in a series. Even worse, it was clear as the season wore on that Avery's reversion to his system adversely affected his players, which affected their effort, especially on the defensive end.
Here were my comments at the halfway point of the season:
By now you should be seeing a pattern: The Mavericks defense is slightly worse in every single aspect other than fouling the opposition. There are two things to take from this: The first is that the Mavericks are suffering death by papercut on defense. The small declines in multiple defensive categories adds up to a significant decline overall. The second thing to take from this is that there is a reason for what we're seeing: A drop in overall defensive aggressiveness.
Make no mistake about it: Avery Johnson is a very good defensive coach, but if the players don't have their heart into it, you see what I outlined above. After Denver, Johnson's moves demoralized the team. Even if they didn't say it, you could see it in their performance on the court.
Certainly we can't blame one game for Johnson giving up on all of the important tasks that he had to tackle coming into the season, but the game was absolutely a turning point. It was after this game that Johnson gave up on all those important initiatives and adjustments that the team needed to move ahead. After twenty games of chaos and a debacle against Denver, Johnson retreated to what he was comfortable with: His system. His offense. His rotations. His plays. His way.
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Very insightful...
You seem to have nailed it. Now let’s hope we can get someone in here who can push the right buttons and implement the right system so we can enjoy our championship parade. Honestly, being a Mavs fan is not easy.
by caseyrebelde on
May 3, 2008 10:08 PM CDT
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Great post
You’re the first one to pinpoint that Denver game as the beginning of the end.
by Marie on
May 3, 2008 10:34 PM CDT
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Good post
Although I think it runs a lot deeper than Avery simply reverting to “his way”. In fact, I’m not even sure we can identify “Avery’s way” anymore. We used to think it was strong defense and a consistent center presence. That’s certainly not something we saw much of in the second half of the season is it?
I think Avery’s reluctance to listen to Del Harris, which is reportedly what led Del to “retire” (except he’s at every home game in a suite) was a huge, huge mistake.
I’m very curious to see Avery’s appraoch with his next team.
by jthig32 on
May 3, 2008 10:45 PM CDT
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The thing is...
In hindsight I think Avery felt himself losing the team, and that led him to circle the wagons and make decisions for the wrong reasons. Either that or he just lost his mind.
He played his centers more than Mike Fisher and others would make us believe, but he definitely didn’t use them enough.
by Jakedfw on
May 4, 2008 1:14 AM CDT
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No he didn't
Unless you consider Bass a center. Which he’s not.
by jthig32 on
May 4, 2008 8:44 AM CDT
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Again
I didn’t say Avery played the centers enough, I said he played them more than others would have us believe. For example, Dampier averaged pretty much around 25 minutes per game all season, but that figure went up as the season went along. The real impact was when Diop was traded, where you had Malik Allen and Juwan Howard backing up Dampier. And, yes, Bass played some center, which was a mistake with this team.
Again, Dampier should have played more. No doubt. But Dampier/Diop and Dampier/Allen/Howard logged enough minutes that you can’t realistically say that Avery was in love with small ball like D’Antoni and Nellie are. That would be absurd.
by Jakedfw on
May 4, 2008 12:09 PM CDT
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Well
One can play a lot of small ball and still not be in the same conversation as D’Antoni of previous season and Nellie. I agree with that.
Even before Diop was traded he had fallen behind Bass for backup center. His minutes per game look normal compared to last season because of the minutes he played while Damp was out and just coming back.
Anyway, here’s hoping Bass doesn’t play backup center under Carlisle. Heck I think he’d be better suited at SF in certain matchups than he was at center.
by jthig32 on
May 4, 2008 12:17 PM CDT
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Solid post as usual
I’m still going to play the eternal optimist card and say that our “one-dimensional iso-focused offensive team that was eminently beatable in a series” actually was good enough to win in the playoffs — against anyone but Golden State. It wasn’t as though we were thrashing them in the regular season but things suddenly changed in the playoffs. To my knowledge, they were the only team we lost the season series to that year.
My theory is the system worked, but the Miami collapse and the loss to GSW (due, no doubt, to Avery not making necessary adjustments) completely demoralized this team to the point that they no longer bought into the system.
Some of the blame lies on Avery, some probably on circumstance, but it’ll sure be interesting to see what this team looks like with a new coach.
by MeanMr.Mustard on
May 4, 2008 1:01 AM CDT
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I agree to a point
But I think that we can’t deny that the offense needed more flexibility. The Dirk “MVP” offense really was too one-dimensional. Miami exposed it and Golden State just abused it.
by Jakedfw on
May 4, 2008 1:11 AM CDT
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Agreed...
It was more one-dimensional than you’d like, but I do think it was still “good enough,” given our defensive prowess. History, perhaps, has proved me wrong on that, but I still think a lot of that was circumstance.
One thing it did excel at was creating mis-matches … it’s just that, of late, our supporting cast has looked less and less capable of taking advantage of that.
Dirk’s (I think?) comment about turning Kidd into a weak-side spot up jump-shooter was dead on. Clearly not the ideal situation for a point guard with his particular skill set.
by MeanMr.Mustard on
May 4, 2008 3:31 AM CDT
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Nice Rhetoric
However, I believe Avery lost this team Game 1 vs Golden State last year. He lost this team when he went small ball after winning 67 games and claiming the #1 seed. Then he lets Nellie dictate his line-up.
Avery will land on his feet somewhere. He’ll be a successful coach. But, he had to go….
by coachh on
May 4, 2008 10:20 AM CDT
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Well
This point is certainly arguable, but I would contend that if Dirk lost his belief in Avery after the Golden State loss, Avery would have been fired before the season started. I actually think Dirk "officially" lost his faith in Avery after Kidd was brought in and the offense didn’t take advantage of him. Also, Devin came into the season with the promise of starting full-time and the keys to the offense. You don’t think he was excited? Of course that changed after Denver.
Overall, I actually think the team was fired up about this season because Avery said all the right things: He was opening up the offense and running more; he was giving control of the offense to Devin; he was going to go with a more "power" power forward to back up Dirk, rather than Dirk-lite, etc. etc.
by Jakedfw on
May 4, 2008 11:55 AM CDT
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Great post as always
He lost me as a fan early in the season when it looked like Paul Westphal really didn’t have much – if any – say in the offense (which has recently been confirmed).
by dirk41 on
May 4, 2008 8:48 PM CDT
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