magic number as of 3-30

by gossamer on Mar 30, 2009 9:07 PM CDT Comment 28 comments

with apologies to ptrk




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pos/team/record/games left

5. Portland 46-27/9

6. Utah 45-27 /10

7. New Orleans 45-27 /10

8. Dallas 43-30 /9

9. Phoenix 40-34 /8

easiest one first. dallas is up 3.5 games left on phoenix with 8 games left for phoenix to play. dallas magic number to make playoffs is 6. that is any combo of dallas wins or phoenix losses equaling 6.

now, what does dallas have to do to catch up to new orleanes or utah (ie not play the lakers)? the magic number is 8 for the hornets or jazz NOT to get passed up by the mavs.

and the 99% impossible? portland? 7.

and the real crazy? the suns catching up to new orleans? .

portland? 3

as long as the number doesn't reach 0, you got a chance.

feel free to let me know if my numbers are off. i'm just killing time while working...

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It's tough

to forecast what the Mavs exactly have to do in order to overtake Utah and NO as far as numbers go since the Tie Breaker (and the Conference Record) is still undecided.

The simplest (and hardest) way, of course, is for the Mavs to take care of business themselves and go on a 9-game winning streak and see what happens in the end. If it were only that easy..

by ptrck on Mar 30, 2009 10:59 PM CDT reply actions

Yeah,

if we could win 8 of our last 9 games, we’d be in good shape. Our two hardest games will be the two against NO and we def have to win at least one of them, plus the home game against Utah. Those are the key games.

by smg31085 on Mar 31, 2009 8:00 AM CDT up reply actions

A 9-game winning streak would be our highest of the season

"You know what they say about love and war."
"Yeah, one of them involves a large amount of physical and psychological pain and the other's war."

by Marie on Mar 31, 2009 11:18 AM CDT up reply actions

Would anybody be surprised if this team missed the playoffs?

by N41D on Mar 31, 2009 10:47 AM CDT reply actions

I would

because Phoenix is worse.

www.mavsmoneyball.com

by Wes Cox on Mar 31, 2009 10:59 AM CDT up reply actions

Well if you look at it from a "How should these games go" perspective...

Minnesota – W
Miami – W (though I think it’s tossup at best)
@ Memphis – W
Phoenix – Tossup
Utah – L
New Orleans – L
@ New Orleans – L
Minnesota – W
Houston – L

Looks like at least 4 L’s to me… Phoenix game could go either way, and I wouldn’t be surprised if Wade came to town and beat us… And frankly, it wouldn’t surprise me one bit if this team threw up a dud in one of the ‘gimme’ games against Minnesota and Memphis…

by N41D on Mar 31, 2009 11:12 AM CDT up reply actions

I would love for that Phoenix game

to not only be Mavs win, but the Suns loss that officially eliminates them from playoff contention.

by ptrck on Mar 31, 2009 1:01 PM CDT up reply actions

We should

be able to beat Utah and Houston at home.

by smg31085 on Mar 31, 2009 3:09 PM CDT up reply actions

Somehow

I doubt it.

Remember to retire Fin's number, Mark.

by jonthefon on Mar 31, 2009 3:50 PM CDT up reply actions

Basically my feelings...

What has this team done lately that leads you to believe they’ll beat good teams when they really need to?

by N41D on Mar 31, 2009 7:50 PM CDT up reply actions

maybe,

and i’m certainly not hoping for this to happen, kobe has some legal issue that causes him to get arrested and miss the first 4 or 5 games of the playoffs.

who am i kidding, even then the lakers would beat dallas

Omar Vizquel: your starting shortstop for the 2009 AL all-star team.

by gossamer on Mar 31, 2009 9:58 PM CDT up reply actions

I'm with Wes

Phoenix is a total mess. If the Mavs somehow break apart, then Cubes should do the right thing and really break them apart this off-season…

by ptrck on Mar 31, 2009 12:59 PM CDT up reply actions

magic number = 5

by ptrck on Mar 31, 2009 10:01 PM CDT reply actions

:)

Omar Vizquel: your starting shortstop for the 2009 AL all-star team.

by gossamer on Apr 1, 2009 12:06 PM CDT up reply actions

Denver Nuggets win the West?

"My mother always taught me that if the only thing you have to say is,
‘(Expletive) Dave Samson,’ then don’t say anything at all.
So I’m not going to say anything at all.
Is my mother the greatest or what?"
- Mariners GM Bill Bavasi, after signing Ichiro to a $90 million contract

by tyd3311 on Apr 1, 2009 12:26 PM CDT reply actions

lakers cilnched.

they are up 9.5 games with 8 left.

i guess the “magic” number is -1…or something like that.

Omar Vizquel: your starting shortstop for the 2009 AL all-star team.

by gossamer on Apr 1, 2009 4:35 PM CDT up reply actions

I meant in the playoffs

I think they have a good shot at beating the Lakers if Bynum can’t get back healthy.

by tyd3311 on Apr 1, 2009 4:49 PM CDT up reply actions

Yuck...

I’d be surprised if they even won a series… Especially if they’re matched up against Utah or New Orleans…

by N41D on Apr 1, 2009 9:07 PM CDT up reply actions

+1

S-St. Louis, R-Rams, D-Dallas, M-Mavericks, A-Arizona, D-Diamondbacks.

by srdmad on Apr 1, 2009 10:22 PM CDT up reply actions

Guess we'll see

I think they are being way underestimated, right now.

by tyd3311 on Apr 2, 2009 10:29 AM CDT up reply actions

you should just update the title of this

and update the magic number

"He will not coddle them. Nolan Ryan doesn’t coddle." - Jeff Passan

by Dirk Diggler on Apr 1, 2009 10:54 PM CDT reply actions

mavs magic number = 4

(damn you phx)

by ptrck on Apr 1, 2009 11:31 PM CDT reply actions

update

pos/team/record/games left

5. New Orleans 47-27 /8

6. Portland 47-27/8

7. Utah 46-28 /8

8. Dallas 45-30 /7

9. Phoenix 41-34 /7

easiest one first. dallas is up 4 games left on phoenix with 7 games left for phoenix to play. dallas magic number to make playoffs is 4. that is any combo of dallas wins or phoenix losses equaling 6.

now, what does dallas have to do to catch up to utah (ie not play the lakers)? the magic number is 7 for the jazz NOT to get passed up by the mavs.

and the 99% impossible? new orleans? 6.

and the real crazy? the suns catching up to new orleans/portland? 2

as long as the number doesn’t reach 0, you got a chance.

Omar Vizquel: your starting shortstop for the 2009 AL all-star team.

by gossamer on Apr 2, 2009 1:12 PM CDT reply actions

If Utah loses tonight and we beat them when we play them,

that’s a game and a half right there that we could gain on them.

S-St. Louis, R-Rams, D-Dallas, M-Mavericks, A-Arizona, D-Diamondbacks.

by srdmad on Apr 2, 2009 8:38 PM CDT up reply actions

Yep...

Also of note, we can’t tie Utah in the final standings… They’ll own the tie-breaker off their conference record…

Gotta end up winning more games… If this team wants to move up, they have almost no margin for error the rest of the way… They almost have to win all three games against Utah and New Orleans…

by N41D on Apr 2, 2009 11:50 PM CDT up reply actions

Not necessarily...

Here’s what I figure:
Dal currently 45-30
Rest of games:
@ Memphis (should be a W) 46-30
vs Pho (hopefully a W) 47-30
vs Uta (needs to be a W) 48-30
vs No (prob a L) 48-31
at No (most definitely a L) 48-32
vs Min (W) 49-32
vs Hou (hopefully W) 50-32

Okay, so if by some miracle the Mavs really pulled that off, this is how Utah’s games need to go:
Utah: 46-29
vs Minn (W) 47-29
at No (L) 47-30
at Dal (L) 47-31
at SA (L) 47-32
vs GS (W) 48-32
vs LAC (W) 49-32
at LAL (L) 49-33

We’d finish one game ahead of Utah in that scenario. Mavs need to shoot for that.

by smg31085 on Apr 3, 2009 8:30 AM CDT reply actions