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Maverick X-Factors For the NBA Finals

While the Mavericks' playoff MVP for these playoffs is without a question Dirk Nowitzki, their second best player is a lot more hazy. They've got contributions from every rotation members, and even some from a player who isn't (Corey Brewer). Seemingly on a game-to-game basis, there is someone different stepping up big to accentuate Dirk's heavy lifting, disproving the meme that teams must have a true second option to go deep into the playoffs. So far, the second option is a constantly shifting role, while keeping the same effectiveness that it would have if Caron Butler or Rodrigue Beaubois were playing and scoring 18 points a night, as we all thought and hoped.

Taking it series by series, there was Jason Kidd in the Portland series. He struggled to close the regular season, seemed mentally and physically done, but turned the clock back to come up with two huge games to set the tone for the series, hitting threes at seemingly the same rate he was missing them prior to the playoffs.

When the Mavericks hit their next challenge, no one expected them to win. Jason Terry, who as we all probably know by now is a proud owner of a Larry O'Brian trophy tattoo, made sure that the Mavericks weren't going to waste this opportunity now, with their chances dwindling by the season. He lit up the Lakers in the final two games, including hitting a playoff record nine threes in Game 4.

Now it was Oklahoma City's turn to try their luck. Shawn Marion's stellar all-around defense and twenty-six point Game 5 ushered them out the door. The young talent of the Thunder? They were talented, alright, but their facial stubble and acne could not compete with the consuming baldness of the Dallas vets.

So as the Mavericks head to the NBA Finals, who will have to step up this time around? The Mavericks center around Dirk Nowitzki, but he will need help somehow, somewhere. Here's three players who need to prove their value in the spotlight by performing well like everyone knows they can.

Star-divide

Shawn Marion

Shawn has to be the first x-factor. After a quiet postseason, he broke out against Kevin Durant and co., honing in on Kevin Durant on the defensive in while finding and exploiting opportunities offensively. Durant? Well, LeBron James is more of a nightmare. Everyone knows that he is one of the world's greatest athletes, and the Mavericks best chance of keeping him in check is tight defense by Marion. He's got the height and quickness to keep with LeBron and contest shots, but also has enough bulk to not be bullied around. That is extremely important, because while people may point to Stevenson and Brewer as being good matchups for James, neither have the size to fight down low. LeBron may not have a post-up game, but receiving the ball at fifteen feet and facing his defender up will be the beginning of the end for the Mavericks, with Wade, Bosh, Miller and Haslem all also having to be accounted for. The Mavericks must keep LeBron at the three point line and farther, inviting him to settle for contested jumpers rather than taking shots around the basket (which, as you might have noticed, he's pretty good at converting). Marion has the bulk and size to push and push and force hm out further than he might want.

Marion's offensive game also cannot be discounted. He always has the potential to be able to break out with 20+ points, capitalizing on cuts and offensive rebounds and the occasional deep post. Getting out and running should also help some of the Heat's own deadly transition game. The Matrix being able to step up and give the Mavericks stellar offensive and defensive production will be critical.

JJ Barea

The Mavericks have feasted on jumpers and three pointers all postseason, which is the primary reason that they've had the best offense in the playoffs. However, excluding the Lakers simply not caring, the Mavericks will have to work to get good looks. Dirk will draw doubles and will drive and kick, but the other key player will be JJ Barea. He's had a great postseason so far, and though he's been criticized for calling his own number a little too often, many people don't realize he's a key factor to getting the open looks from deep. Despite his faults, JJ penetrates, and does so frequently and relentlessly. He's a exceptional finisher inside for his size, but once the defense collapses a little bit too much, or the lane clogs with help defense, he knows how to find the open man. The Mavericks unselfish passing and quick ball movement does the rest, and if somewhere, somehow, an open three point shot can be had, the Mavericks will find it.

DeShawn Stevenson

Stevenson has started at the 2 in these playoffs primarily for his defensive prowess, and in that regard he's actually done a pretty darn good job. However, his abilities will be put to the test when he will be an option to stop Dwyane Wade. Though the Mavericks will almost assuredly utilize their zone defense quite frequently, there will be times where man to man is necessary, and if Stevenson can't stop Wade, then the duty will likely fall to Kidd. I think its safe to say that that would be a total mismatch.

Stevenson hitting a few threes would also be welcomed for the Mavericks. The Mavericks have plenty of three point shooters, but when only five players play, one more is always welcome. It seems very likely that Stevenson is the one that the Heat will likely gamble on and choose to ignore, and Stevenson hitting a shot or two will help space the floor early, especially considering that Marion is also a non-factor from deep in the starting lineup.

Dirk is the center point of this series for the Mavs. Jason Kidd, Jason Terry, and Tyson Chandler are all mostly reliable and have proved their value in a majority of the games this postseason. However, those three players are the x-factors, because it may be up to them to shift the tide of a game that otherwise would be lost. It will be interesting to see, to say the least, how they respond to the pressure.

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No one expected and still don't

The Mav’s for some odd reason came up as the underdog to many in ALL their games so far. Whether they were better statistically on paper, living in NY, all i;‘ve heard is that “they are old,” and “really( regarding their wins thus far) ?!” Sick of it, I hope the Mav’s are drinking Tigers Blood as we speak. Its soon time to feed.

by Slimmpickinz on May 31, 2011 11:15 AM CDT reply actions  

The Mavs should test Wade in game one.

They have to find out if he is playing hurt. Stevenson may be key. Kidd may have slow feet but he has quick hands and did well against Kobe in crunch time.

by Tim S. on May 31, 2011 11:23 AM CDT reply actions  

Stevenson

He will be logging a lot of minutes (around 20 per game) because of his defensive abilities. I want him to do great in that regard, but getting some points out of him in those minutes would be greatly appreciated. Same goes with the Matrix, with much higher expectations.

"The idea is not to block every shot. The idea is to make your opponent believe that you might block every shot."

- Bill Russell

by Marjun Raposon on May 31, 2011 11:39 AM CDT reply actions  

I really liked it in the OKC series

when Stevenson and Peja started out of the blue driving into the lane instead of lobbing up 3s. They were effective too, probably because they were surprising moves.

by lemonbrigade on May 31, 2011 3:51 PM CDT up reply actions  

We're gong to get this done!

the Mavericks actually do match up quite well with the Heat from what I’ve seen and we owe them payback. Dirk is a nice fellow but with the ball in his hands he becomes

Brad James

Follow me on Twitter

With Coach Zorro on our side, we will slice opponents to ribbons. Tim Tebow gives me hope and I already have faith and charity in my heart! I see a propitious future rife with Lombardis for our Broncos!

by the new Bradfather on May 31, 2011 1:58 PM CDT reply actions  

Enjoy every second of these finals,

because these are the good old days.

Lock n Load

by DIRE WOLF on May 31, 2011 2:11 PM CDT reply actions  

These were the good old days too!

Brad James

Follow me on Twitter

With Coach Zorro on our side, we will slice opponents to ribbons. Tim Tebow gives me hope and I already have faith and charity in my heart! I see a propitious future rife with Lombardis for our Broncos!

by the new Bradfather on May 31, 2011 2:33 PM CDT up reply actions  

If the Mavs win it all

I swear, I think they’ll be the first team to not have “won” a single series along the way. (i.e. “How did Portland/LA/OKC/Miami lose it?”)

by OhFudge on May 31, 2011 3:30 PM CDT reply actions  

Home Court Advantage

I’ve just learned a new pet peeve: professional “experts” who say home court advantage will be a big factor in the win and pick the team in 5 or 6. I guess they’re hedging their bets, but that only matters if the series goes to 7 IMHO.

Also, in the Finals, is HCA even that great of a factor? Assuming games 1-5 are won by the home team, that gives the team without HCA two potential elimination games instead of one, unlike the other rounds.

I pick the Mavs because they’re my team, but really this is almost impossible to predict. Both teams are great road and home teams. Both are great in the clutch. Tons of intangibles and mismatches. Dallas has the offense to offset the superstars and have proven they can play the defense to match. Plus we have the revenge factor, the desperation factor and the “we haven’t lost a game to Miami since 2006” factor.

If we take game 1 or 2, I say we win in 5. If we take the first 2, we sweep. Lose the first two, we lose in 6.

by lemonbrigade on May 31, 2011 4:05 PM CDT reply actions  

By the way,

My X-Factor is Chandler’s offense – both scoring and rebounding. I think Carlisle should exploit Miami’s center weakness (and their center will often need to help with Dirk anyway) and run some surprise plays intended for Chandler in the post. Carlisle’s been excellent at finding weaknesses, and Miami’s are glaringly obvious because they are an incomplete team.

by lemonbrigade on May 31, 2011 4:17 PM CDT up reply actions   1 recs

Agreed!

Chandler stays in foul trouble, but he brings an energy to the game that says to the opposition, “not today buddy.” I’d like to see him more offensively.

by Slimmpickinz on May 31, 2011 5:13 PM CDT up reply actions  

Blazer fan here

I have been rooting for you guys since you beat us. Hoping you win it all! Good luck!

GO BLAZERS!!!GO DUCKS!!!!GO RAIDERS!!!!AND PANTHERS!!!!GO YANKEES!!!!!

by rolo_poloo on May 31, 2011 4:24 PM CDT reply actions  

fuck you bruce bowen you're the dirtiest little fuck to ever play in the nba

if there’s one person i want less to talk about the finals is you
on a side note:fuck you too tim legler

by dimitrious on May 31, 2011 5:30 PM CDT reply actions  

Lakers Fan Here

PLEASE PLEASE PLEASE beat the Heat. I get more joy out of seeing lebron fail than i do seeing the lakers win. Dirk and kidd and even terry deserve ring WAY more than this clown. NOW GO OUT THERE AND GET IT!!!

Kobe: "Listen, if you told me at the beginning of the year that we’ve got two games at home to win a championship, yeah, I’ll take that shit"

by hrghori on May 31, 2011 5:45 PM CDT reply actions  

love the enthusiasm

Managing Editor of MavsMoneyball.com

by LJRotter on May 31, 2011 5:55 PM CDT up reply actions  

LOL
I get more joy out of seeing lebron fail than i do seeing the lakers win

Now that’s some hate there.

"Townes Van Zandt is the best songwriter in the whole world and I'll stand on Bob Dylan's coffee table in my cowboy boots and say that."-Steve Earle
"I'd rather be a dead Gram Parsons than a live Garth Brooks"-Kinky Friedman
Apple has a new anti-sexting feature. Brett Favre, you going to want to get the Android!

by texascowpunk on May 31, 2011 5:55 PM CDT up reply actions  

My fellow Laker fans are cheering for Dallas? Wow. lol But honestly i don’t hate the Heat and I LIKE a lot of people on the Mavs. Dirk, J Kidd, even that lil dude Barea. lol But all in all i’m disappointed that my team did not get the job done. Would you Dallas fans cheer for us if we were in your situation? Hell no. Dallas fans are true to the game, you guys would hate us to the end. That’s why i can’t get with this hate the Heat bandwagon. I would rather cheer for my team and my team only.

The measure of a woman is not her looks. It is her passion, her femininity, her character and her pride. My passion, my femininity, my character and my pride have been going strong for 28 years. The world is at my feet.

by California Girly Girl on May 31, 2011 6:03 PM CDT up reply actions  

Thats fair enought and I agree.

I would never say that I wanted to see someone loose more than my team win. That’s crazy talk to me but each their own.

"Townes Van Zandt is the best songwriter in the whole world and I'll stand on Bob Dylan's coffee table in my cowboy boots and say that."-Steve Earle
"I'd rather be a dead Gram Parsons than a live Garth Brooks"-Kinky Friedman
Apple has a new anti-sexting feature. Brett Favre, you going to want to get the Android!

by texascowpunk on May 31, 2011 6:08 PM CDT up reply actions  

mavs have been my favorite team for 10 years but i dont hate the lakers

and i was happy as shit last year’s game 7 boston celtic’s are the biggest douches
no class like bird’s celtics fake toughness whiners blech

by dimitrious on May 31, 2011 6:11 PM CDT up reply actions  

Kisses! I dislike the Celtics a lot! Haha. But on a side note, i really don’t think their is any real animosity between Dallas and L.A. All the Lakers fans i know like Dirk as a player and a person. When they lost the series to Dallas, people said they hope Dallas takes it. IDK. I just hate jumping the bandwagon to cheer for a team that ain’t mine though.

The measure of a woman is not her looks. It is her passion, her femininity, her character and her pride. My passion, my femininity, my character and my pride have been going strong for 28 years. The world is at my feet.

by California Girly Girl on May 31, 2011 6:15 PM CDT up reply actions  

also many years the lakers stood in the way of the spurts

championship hopes don’t much like shaq but was always rooting for the lakers
against them that fisher shot against those turds made me jump up and down

by dimitrious on May 31, 2011 6:17 PM CDT up reply actions  

Yeah. The Spurs are your rivals. I also have to say that Barkley was right. He said Dallas was the best team in Texas and low and behold…… Damn. Do eating doughnuts make you smart?

The measure of a woman is not her looks. It is her passion, her femininity, her character and her pride. My passion, my femininity, my character and my pride have been going strong for 28 years. The world is at my feet.

by California Girly Girl on May 31, 2011 6:20 PM CDT up reply actions  

the splurts are the first team that i can remember rooting against

that badly although in the day i used to root for the jazz and stockton malone
and reggie and the pacers the bulls were awesome to watch though not exactly my team

by dimitrious on May 31, 2011 6:24 PM CDT up reply actions  

Yeah. Steve Kerr broke their back in ’97. Shit. I actually remember watching b-ball back then. I was 14. lol My friends said i was liked basketball a lot for a girl. lol

The measure of a woman is not her looks. It is her passion, her femininity, her character and her pride. My passion, my femininity, my character and my pride have been going strong for 28 years. The world is at my feet.

by California Girly Girl on May 31, 2011 6:27 PM CDT up reply actions  

i liked. ugh.spelling.

The measure of a woman is not her looks. It is her passion, her femininity, her character and her pride. My passion, my femininity, my character and my pride have been going strong for 28 years. The world is at my feet.

by California Girly Girl on May 31, 2011 6:28 PM CDT up reply actions  

Haha. I miss the NBA on NBC. They made it look so cool. I think i saw my first b-ball game back in ’95 on NBC. Magic was my idol.

The measure of a woman is not her looks. It is her passion, her femininity, her character and her pride. My passion, my femininity, my character and my pride have been going strong for 28 years. The world is at my feet.

by California Girly Girl on May 31, 2011 6:35 PM CDT up reply actions  

good

The measure of a woman is not her looks. It is her passion, her femininity, her character and her pride. My passion, my femininity, my character and my pride have been going strong for 28 years. The world is at my feet.

by California Girly Girl on May 31, 2011 6:38 PM CDT up reply actions  

Barkley was a manster. Fuck. They had KJ, Danny Ainge, Mark West, OMG, they were so rugged and manly when they played. Damn. lol

The measure of a woman is not her looks. It is her passion, her femininity, her character and her pride. My passion, my femininity, my character and my pride have been going strong for 28 years. The world is at my feet.

by California Girly Girl on May 31, 2011 6:42 PM CDT up reply actions  

cool but i never saw game that far back. lol

The measure of a woman is not her looks. It is her passion, her femininity, her character and her pride. My passion, my femininity, my character and my pride have been going strong for 28 years. The world is at my feet.

by California Girly Girl on May 31, 2011 6:46 PM CDT up reply actions  

then the new era of nash dirk Kidd used to whatch Kidd in nj

when he came to dallas was a happy day though i was sure they’d miss
devin harris

by dimitrious on May 31, 2011 6:30 PM CDT up reply actions  

Kidd is a legend. He lead two Nets teams that HAD NO BUISSNESS to the Finals back to back years. I’m also glad Kidd shut those haters who use to mock his jumpshot. He ain’t great but he is 3rd all time in threes made.

The measure of a woman is not her looks. It is her passion, her femininity, her character and her pride. My passion, my femininity, my character and my pride have been going strong for 28 years. The world is at my feet.

by California Girly Girl on May 31, 2011 6:33 PM CDT up reply actions  

all about the mavs now fantastic team i was happy

that marion took on a bigger role he’s still a ell of a player
go mavs go

by dimitrious on May 31, 2011 6:55 PM CDT up reply actions  

mavs will win Game 1

and by the end of Game 4, its broom time!

HOPE is the worst of all evils because it prolongs the torments of men.

by simpleton cxi on May 31, 2011 6:53 PM CDT reply actions  

thanx..im taking it easy now.

i just cant help it…yknow with ’06 Finals on my mind.. Its payback time..

HOPE is the worst of all evils because it prolongs the torments of men.

by simpleton cxi on May 31, 2011 7:31 PM CDT up reply actions  

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