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Maverick Finances 101: Can Dallas afford Deron Williams and Dwight Howard?


With less than one month before the NBA Trade deadline for this shortened season, teams will make cost-cutting moves, financial gambles, and desperate "save-the-team" trades. The Dallas Mavericks, on the other had, made their deals rather early, with the sign and trade of Tyson Chandler to New York to again a Traded Player Exemption (TPE), which was then used to pry Lamar Odom away from the Lakers. Now, Donnie Nelson set his sights onto the 2012 NBA Free Agency. Many sports analysts claim that the 2012 NBA Free Agent signing would be akin to the 2012 NBA Free Agent bonanza, and people like Marc Stein of ESPN.com chimed in that that Dallas Mavericks are in the lead to obtain Deron Williams, Dwight Howard, or even both. With the non expiring salary of Dirk & Co., is it even possible for the Dallas Mavericks to even get one of these stars? See the number crunching after the jump.

Star-divide

At the end of this season, Dallas will have $54.35 million in salary due, courtesy of Shamsports.com for the information. Alas, the NBA salary cap will be at or below that number. It may be a tad bit higher, but due to the loss of revenue via the lockout, it is next to impossible that the salary cap rises. However, Dallas can make a few cuts to save money: Brandan Wright and Sean Williams can be waived with no penalty on the 2012 salary, freeing up about $2 million. Vince Carter can be waived, but he has $2 million guaranteed for the last two years he is signed. Waiving Vince will only free up $1 million, and would leave $2 million stuck as useless space in the Maverick salary cap. Lamar Odom has a partially guaranteed contract for next year; if Lamar Odom is waived, the Mavs would only have to pay $2.4 million instead of the $8.2 million Odom is currently due.

Even with all the previously mentioned salary shed, the Mavericks total salary for 2012 is at $45.57 million, not close to sign even Deron Williams or Dwight Howard by himself. Deron will be owed 17,779,458 next year and Dwight would be owed a higher amount at 19,536,360. For the Mavs to sign both, a lot of salary has to be dissolved. Vince Carter and Lamar Odom have to be traded away so their partially guaranteed salary does not stay on the books next year. By trading away Vince and Lamar instead of waiving them, the Mavericks gain an additional $4.4 million in cap space. Brendan Haywood would be an amnesty candidate, and his $8.39 million salary would not be seen as taking cap room.(If no one bids on Brendan, his salary would still be paid by the Mavs organization). Shawn Marion, who has been playing some of his best games since he played in Phoenix, would have to be traded to a team who has enough cap room or a trade exception so Dallas would receive no salary in return. With all of these drastic cuts, the total salary that Dallas would be paying (on the books) is close to $24 million, the players being Dirk Nowitzki, Rodrigue Beaubois, and Dominique Jones.

All in all, almost purging the roster still is not enough to sign both Deron Williams and Dwight Howard to max level deals. The Mavs will be able to gain both if they are willing to take less than the maximum allowed, similar to what Chris Bosh and Lebron James did to sign with the Miami Heat in 2010. Just like with the 2010 Heat though, the rest of the roster would be filled up with minimum payed players. If the gears fall into motion, the 2012 Mavericks roster would look something like:

PG: Deron Williams/Rodrigue Beaubois

SG:Dominique Jones/ Free Agent (Possibly Jason Terry for the Room exception)

SF: Free Agent/ Free Agent (Possibles include Tracy McGrady to start)

PF: Dirk Nowitzki/Free Agent (Possibles include Brandan Wright returning for the minimum)

C: Dwight Howard/ Free Agent (Possibles include Sean Williams returning for the minimum)

More than likely, only a few gears would turn on, and the Mavericks roster will only have enough room for either Deron Williams or Dwight Howard to come. Which brings up the critical question which must haunt Donnie Nelson at this moment: Is Dwight Howard or Deron Williams more important for the team? As fans, we will find out the answer in July 2012.

Poll
Who would be more important for the team to acquire: Dwight Howard or Deron Williams?
Dwight Howard
939 votes
Deron Williams
492 votes

1431 votes | Poll has closed

Comment 11 comments  |  0 recs  | 

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The End of an Era

May 2012 by andytobo - 38 comments

Comments

Display:

the better player always is more important no matter what

so Howard its a no brainer here

"I don't know if there is a shot he doesn't like." - Veteran NBA coach Mike Dunleavy, Sr. about Dirk

by Fjodor on Feb 21, 2012 8:10 AM CST reply actions  

I thought Chandler was a free agent so he couldn't possibly have been traded, right?

Hmmm….I’m still confused on who I think the Mavs need more. Getting Dwight would be awesome because clearly, we need a dominant center even though Haywood has been doing pretty well. However, Kidd is turning 39 in March. I’m pretty sure it won’t be long before he retires.

I was thinking maybe we could possibly get both Dwight and Nash? Nash is cheaper than Williams. I have to admit though, getting Nash seems pretty slim but I would love to have him back in Dallas. He has great basketball IQ, can still shoot, and his passes are still a thing of beauty. He’ll be able to give our guys the ball at their sweet spots.

Hoping for another ring or two before Dirk or Kidd or Terry retires.

by bleed_blu on Feb 21, 2012 8:26 AM CST reply actions  

I don't really want Kidd to retire but just imagining both Kidd and Nash as our PGs makes me drool

Nash can still ball and Kidd can too. Also, he’s cheaper than Williams and can still put up numbers. He’s going to be a free agent after this season so why can’t the Mavs make a move for him?

Hoping for another ring or two before Dirk or Kidd or Terry retires.

by bleed_blu on Feb 21, 2012 8:45 AM CST up reply actions  

although Nash doesn't play much defense....so I don't really know

If we can’t get Williams, why not get Nash?

Hoping for another ring or two before Dirk or Kidd or Terry retires.

by bleed_blu on Feb 21, 2012 8:46 AM CST up reply actions  

I say Dwight

with Roddy, Dojo Plus the two Europeans(both are expected to come over next year) in the mix, the PG and SG positions should be set.

with Iah Mahinmi and Brendan Wright both leaving that leaves only Haywood at C who would have to be released to sign Dwight….

toss up either way really….

Here’s a theoretical play from 2010: Snap. Tony takes 7 step drop. Tony looks left at Miles, who is doubled, and looks right to where Roy Williams should be…but instead sees Colombo on his back and a Defensive End foaming at the mouth jumping over Marc’s carcass. Tony proceeds to run like hell and look for Witten
-by CotySaxman on Jul 11, 2011 7:50 AM PDT

Now, if somebody doesn’t agree with that, that’s cool. I also don’t agree with the fact that I don’t have $10 million in my bank account. But the fact that I don’t agree with it doesn’t make it any less true.
by One.Cool.Customer on Dec 23, 2010 12:00 AM PST

by I am Ironman!!! on Feb 21, 2012 9:00 AM CST reply actions  

Even more complex: cap holds.

From Hoopsworld

2012 Dallas Cap Holds:
TOTAL $32,320,606
Jason Terry $15,987,000
Jason Kidd $12,915,750
Brian Cardinal $854,389
Delonte West $854,389
Ian Mahinmi $854,389
Yi Jianlian $854,389
What is a cap hold? A cap hold is the amount of space a free agent counts towards a team’s cap. These "cap holds" factor in when a team signs free agents. If they didn’t exist, a team could use their cap space to sign other free agents until the space was gone, and then re-sign their own free agents using the Bird exception. A cap hold cannot exceed the maximum contract offer that player can receive on the open market (as defined by years of experience – indicated in the table above by MAX followed by the years of experience). The cap hold disappears if the team renounces their own free agent, that free agent signs with a new team, or re-signs with the same team.

JET and Kidd will have to re-sign for close to the minimum, sign elsewhere, or the Mavs will have to renounce their rights before signing anyone.

As for the main question of your article: Dwight would definitely be more important, but he, not coincidentally, looks to be the harder one to sign. Deron would be an excellent consolation prize.

www.bigdsoccer.com

by fennsk1 on Feb 21, 2012 9:30 AM CST reply actions  

McMahon reporting that the Mavs are shopping Roddy to clear up even more space..

Likely only to get a un-lottery draft pick. That would be highly disappointing for a guy that never got a significant chance after coming back from injury.

http://espn.go.com/blog/dallas/mavericks/post/_/id/4685439/rumor-mill-rodrigue-beaubois-on-the-trade-block

I'm a pansy firefly. better?

by bbob on Feb 21, 2012 10:32 AM CST reply actions  

Heart says Dwight.

Head says Deron.

ite-Bay e-May, itches-Bay

by AfterSchoolSpecial on Feb 21, 2012 11:58 AM CST reply actions  

I want Deron.

Dwight would just be a cherry on top, imo (one hell of a cherry, admittedly :P).

by mike_o on Feb 21, 2012 10:33 PM CST reply actions  

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