FanPost

The Development of Rodrigue Beaubois

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Rodrigue Beaubois is an enigma for Maverick fans. His rookie season was so sensational; yet his minutes were severely limited. He capped off the season with an amazing performance in the playoffs vs. the Spurs in which he single-handedly brought the Mavs back, only to have the struggling JET fail to lift off. This sparked a controversy among Mavs fans on whether Carlisle was the coach for this team after a few lackluster years. Roddy then followed up with a terrible summer league showing in which he was outplayed by both Dojo and Jeremy Lin. This was followed by an injury while preparing for the 2010 FIBA's, a 29 game sophomore season in which Beaubois never recovered and was ended by another foot injury, followed by this season's herky-jerky rotation/performances.

Roddy was considered "untouchable" by Cuban coming off his rookie year, and now, he is our only real trade chip that isn't related to salary cap relief. Has Roddy shown the Mavs that he is improving, or is it time to move on from the Roddy B Experiment? Let's dig in to some statistics.

For the first chart, I have taken the traditional box score and averaged it out to a stats per 40 minutes for each of Roddy's 3 seasons, and for comparison, to Delonte's and Jet's 2011-2012 season. The second chart is advanced statistics from hoopdata.com on the same 5 seasons. I compare Roddy to Jet because I believe this is Roddy's best chance to succeed with the Mavs next season as a 6th man. I bring in Delonte because all of Mavs nation is in love with this guy, Carlisle especially, and I want to see what the difference is between the 2 players.

Stats per 40 min.

FG%

3pt%

FT%

Reb

Ast

Blks

Steals

Fouls

Turnovers

Points

Rook

0.518

0.409

0.808

4.5

4.2

0.7

1.7

4.8

3.1

22.8

Soph

0.422

0.301

0.767

4.1

5.1

0.6

1.6

6

3.7

18.7

Roddy

0.422

0.288

0.841

5.2

5.3

1

1.9

3.4

2.4

16.4

Jet

43.1

37.8

88.3

3

4.5

0.2

1.5

1.4

2.6

19

Delonte West

46.1

35.5

88.6

3.8

5.3

0.4

2.2

2.5

2.9

15.9

Advanced Stats

SEASON

USG

TS%

%AST

AR

TOR

TRR

PER

2009-2010

24.78

61.7

45.2

19.69

14.37

6.4

18.67

2010-2011

26.24

50

51.1

22.6

16.6

6

11.22

Roddy

21.96

49.7

37.2

27.87

12.84

7.4

15.41

Jet

23.35

54.1

49.9

22.47

12.73

4.2

15.8

Delonte

20.45

53.9

28.9

29.78

16.28

5.4

15.39

First thing to note, Roddy has improved in every category of the game, with the exception of scoring/shooting, most notably on 3's. Assist, rebounds, turnovers, blocks, steals, fouls, and free-throws are all improved. Where did that shot go? His free-throws improved, which indicates his shot is fine. He also has developed a decent mid-range floater coming off the pick-and-roll. I cannot say myself, because I am not a shooting coach, and I am not going to watch 200 Roddy jumpshots to see why his 3-point% has declined, but my opinion is at first, compensation for his injury, and second, a complete lack of confidence. His injury was a very mysterious one, in which the timetable kept getting pushed back, and there may or may not have been a reinjury early last season when trying to rush back. Either way, it was obvious that 2010-2011 really set Roddy back in his developments.

He has recovered just fine though. His ability at the point was greatly improved when he filled in for first Kidd and then Delonte this season. He may not have got Dirk the ball, but Roddy did pretty good for a young point guard. Point guard is a tough position that requires a lot of high BBall IQ. Roddy has not played basketball all that long, and the Mavs have a system built upon "flow." This is dependant upon players making smart basketball plays, taking open cuts, and knowing what your teammates will do against specific defensive looks. This is why our offense stagnated with Vince and Delonte. They did not know how to operate within the system and with our old core. Roddy is still learning and will figue it out with more time. He has only played basketball for about 5-6 years.

His biggest increase was on defense. His blocks/steals were some of the best on the team for a guard, and his fouls greatly decreased. He also learned better how to control the ball handler. He did still struggle against bigger 2's, but that is understandable considering he has a point guard's body (side note: this only applies to guarding Kobe and DWade-who doesn't struggle here?). Guarding 1's he did very well. (Watch him guard Tony Parker, amazing work).

I think what the problem that fans have with Roddy is that we are all waiting on him to make the "leap." It's common practice in the NBA for rookie's to be up and down in their first year, make slight improvements in their second year, and then make a leap in their 3rd year as they gain more understanding how to utilize their skills in the system, and as their coaches understand how to leverage them. Here is where Carlisle haters will say "See, Rick's holding the kid back!" Hold on one sec. Yea, Roddy is technically in his third year; however, if you add his year 2 and year 3 games together it only equals one season. Also, he didn't get the playing time a normal rookie gets on a terrible team. As far as I am concerned, this upcoming year will be his "year 3." Roddy finally has a summer to address his shortcomings as a player, and I expect that Carlisle will work with him to fix those things that irritate Rick, and also to fix his shot. I believe he will make "the leap" this year. Rick also gave Roddy a long leash last year after his injury, until the team asked him to switch Roddy for Deshawn (talk about a confidence killer). Rick basically played Roddy as you would any 2nd year player, even though Roddy was technically in his 3rd. I think you will see Rick giving Roddy more consistent minutes this year.

In comparing Roddy to Delonte, Roddy is equal or better in every category except shooting. If he can fix that, then Carlisle has no choice but to play Roddy over Delonte. People will say Delonte is better defensively, but I'm not buying it. Once again, did anyone watch Roddy guard Tony Parker this year? Ridiculous athleticism and poise by Roddy. He always competes too, sometimes maybe too much, but that is preferable to me. Why are we clamoring to re-sign Delonte, and contemplating trading Roddy? Makes no sense to me. Roddy is cheap, and will be a restricted free agent next year. This allows us to keep a 1-year contract on the roster, with the option to match next summer, instead of 3-4 years of Delonte. Do not misunderstand me, I love Delonte. I just think Roddy is a much better option, both currently, and especially in the future.

In comparing Roddy to JET, we can see how Roddy can handle the 6th man role. No one doubts his scoring ability. Also, he has developed as a playmaker as evidenced by his increase in assist and decrease in turnovers, superior to Jet in both categories. Once again it comes back to Roddy's 3pt shooting. The chart below shows Roddy's stats if he hit 40% of 3's, (like his rookie season) and if he hit 35% of 3's (a not so hard number for him to achieve if he works on his shot. Both are compared to Jet last year.

3pt%

TS%

PP40

Roddy

35

52.17

17.22

Roddy

40

54.06

17.85

Jet

37.8

54.1

19

Roddy is not that far off from Jet now. If he fixes his shot, he will be nearly equal offensively when you factor in Roddy's better playmaking skills. If his shot improves, it will also open up driving lanes for himself and teammates, and lead to more assists. Adding in defense, Roddy can excel in this spot next year if given 20-25 minutes a night behind (hopefully) Deron Williams and whoever is the 2-guard.

All in all, Roddy has consistently improved in nearly all categories, especially in his playmaking ability. If his shot even comes back even partially, Roddy can still be that high-impact player we have been dreaming about for so long.

***Noob Alert*** - I didn't know how to post graphs into the writer. They kept coming back in html text. If you copy and paste the charts into excel and make a side by side bar chart, it is easier to see the comparison. Maybe if LJ wants to edit my post, or anyone else who has access, can include these charts or tell me how to do it?

Reader Submitted

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