FanPost

Playoff Tiebreaker Watch

With 4.5 games separating the 5th seed from the 9th seed and 4.5 games separating 4th seeded Houston from Dallas, matchup tiebreakers could become a critical determinant of our playoff seeding and chances of progressing to the next round.

Criteria: Houston Portland Golden State Memphis Phoenix
(1) Head-to-head Tied Clinched GSW leads 2-1. Will tie or lose April 1st. Clinched Tied 1-1. Will win or lose tiebreaker on April 12th
(2) Division record (if the teams are in the same division) Houston 9-4
Dallas 9-5
- (Not in our division) - -
(3) Conference record Houston 24-17
Dallas 21-18
- GSW 24-17
Dallas 21-18
- -
(4) Record vs. Playoff teams, own conference Houston 12-12
Dallas 9-11
- Dallas 9-11
GSW 9-12
- -
(5) Record vs. Playoff teams, other conference Houston 9-4
Dallas 8-8
- Dallas 8-8
GSW 6-8
- -
(6) Net points, all games Houston 106.2 PPG
Dallas 104.2 PPG
- Dallas 104.2 PPG
GSW 103.4 PPG
- -
Record margin over Mavs +4.5 +3 +1.5 -0.5 -1.5
Games to Play vs. Dallas 0 0 1 1 1

Since we have clinched the tiebreakers with Portland and Memphis, if three of us end up tied at the end of the year, we would get the best seed. If we beat Phoenix on April 12th, this will be the case over them as well. Thus our chances of getting the 6th seed improve. Portland is falling and without Aldridge for a few weeks - it's not out of the question that we end the season tied.

Golden State will be harder to catch, and not just because of their record margin. We must win April 1st just to tie, and then we must at least tie their conference record, which we are currently behind by 3 games. After that, we win every tie breaker at this moment, but getting there will be the hard part.

Houston is a longshot to drop into a tie and they win every tiebreaker currently, but they aren't out of striking distance either. Basically, April 1 vs. GSW and April 12 vs. PHX are both must-wins on a multiple levels. Although actually, every game is kind of a must-win considering how close this race is.

Reader Submitted

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