FanPost

How Likely is a 50-Win 9th Seed?

With only 5-6 more regular season games to go, let's just say a 50-win 9th seed is not likely, but it's not impossible either:

The following result would get us there:

DALLAS

@SAC W

@UTH W

SAS W (but probably not)

PHO W

@MEM L

Final Record: 50-32

PHOENIX

OKC W (but probably not)

@NOR W

@SAS W (but probably not)

@DAL L

MEM W

@SAC W

Final Record: 50-32

MEMPHIS

@SAS W (but probably not)

MIA W (but probably not)

PHI W

@LAL W

@PHO L

DAL W

Final Record: 50-32

Realistically we have the best shot at 50 wins (being a half game ahead in the race), with only one "probably not" game, vs. SAS at home. But going 4-1 in our final five games with SA, Phoenix and @Memphis on the docket is no easy task. In all likelihood none of us make 50 wins. We'd all have to win every game against every top 4 team we play, and take the home games in our battle vs. each other. In fact, it's more likely we all end the season tied at 49 wins (which still should get us in at the 7th seed even if we lose to both Phoenix and Memphis, since multiple team tiebreakers would be records vs. all tied teams, and we're currently at 4-1, Memphis is 3-3 and Phoenix is 1-4.). I think if we take care of our next two should-win games and SA, Miami and OKC do what they do best vs. Memphis and Phoenix, we'll have enough of a lead plus the confidence of tiebreakers to breathe easier.

Realistic records (assuming we all lose to OKC/Miami/SAS, each win the home game and lose the road game in our final standoff and beat all the other teams):

Dallas 49 - 33

Phoenix 48 - 34

Memphis 48 - 34

Reader Submitted

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