Mavs Moneyball: An SB Nation Community

Navigation: Jump to content areas:



Sports blogs for fans, by fans.
Around SBN: Bills must alter strategy to make offense work


The Mavs Losses to Golden State in Context

You're going to hear and read A LOT about the Mavs being 0-3 against the Warriors this season. It's important to look beyond the face value of that record.

Dirk41 touched on this yesterday, but it's worth expanding.

Game One: Dallas loses at home by three. This was all the way back on November 6th. You know what means, it was during th Mavs weird four game losing streak to start the season -- when the Heat were still heavy on the brain and they were still trying to figure things out after barely playing together in the preseason. It's almost worth ignoring for that reason alone; those first four game were an anomaly. There are still other things from this game worth pointing out. Josh Howard only played 15 minutes because he sprained his ankle in the 2nd quarter. Devean George did not dress. Anthony Johnson played 19 minutes. Golden State had not yet made the big trade with Indiana.

Game Two: Dallas gets blown out in Golden State (where the Warriors were 30-11). The Mavs lost by 17 and were actually down 29 after 36 minutes. This was the second game of a back-to-back -- Dallas beat the Lakers the night before. Devean George injured his knee in that game and could only play two minutes against the Warriors. This was the first time Dallas played the Warriors after they traded Dunleavy and Murphy for Harrington and Jackson. Don Nelson rested Baron Davis the night before so that he would be ready for this game - it was a big deal to him/them. There is no way to quantify this, but Dallas probably came into this game overconfident -- they had won 17 in a row and just beaten the Lakers by 36. Others might say that just shows the Warriors beat Dallas at their best. My counter to that, the Mavs at their best don't turn the ball over 23 times. Dirk and Josh at their best don't shoot a combined 8 for 26.

Game Three: "Dallas" gets blown out in Golden State. You know this one already. Dirk, Howard, Stack, and Dampier were all wearing suits on the bench. The starting lineup was Barea-Ager-Buckner-George-Diop. To quote Clips Nation, it was the "Z-Team". Nothing from this game can be used to project the future. Meaningless.

In my opinion, the first and third game should be ignored. That does leave the ugliest loss, but what can be taken away from one game? Plenty of things happened in that game that I don't have any reason to believe will happen in the playoffs. For starters, the Mavs came out flat and played with no energy at all. Intensity won't be an issue in the postseason. The Mavs 23 turnovers was the most they had in a game all season. It was also Dirk's worst game of the season (3 of 11 from the field and 7 turnovers) - uncharacteristic isn't a strong enough word.

0 recs | Comment 4 comments

Story-email Email Printer Print

Comments

Display:

First game.
Avery was also ejected early in the second quarter of that game by Team Joey Crawford. Jet also got tossed from that game AND Josh rolled his ankle after playing only 14 minutes.

I always thought this loss was bad karma from Cube for raising the Western Conference banner when Nellie came back.

GS shot 57% and 50% in games one and two. I honestly think it would take miracle for that to happen for four games in the playoffs. If the Mavs even let that happen, then they deserve what they get.

by DitchThePlaybook on Apr 19, 2007 7:40 AM CDT reply reply actions actions   0 recs

goldenstateofmind
just looked at their website... you would've thought they just won the championship!!  WOW they are so pumped up and excited just to be there!  Even some of the brightsideofthesun guys have gone over there and congratulated them!!  Haha... this is too funny.  Little do they know, their days of celebrating will come to an end after 5 games.

by chevs10zr2 on Apr 19, 2007 10:18 AM CDT reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Great Analysis, Wes
Regarding the reaction on goldenstateofmind, remember how it felt for long-suffering Mavs fans when we made the playoffs after an 11-year drought (the longest at the time) in the 2000-2001 season?  

It DID feel like winning a championship.  There were no expectations and we were able to upset the Jazz in 5 after going down two games.  Then, in the next round, we lost to the Spurs 4 games to 1.  I didn't care about Round 2 -- it was rewarding enough to see progress.  The tough thing about being a Mavs fan is now the only progress left is winning the Finals, which to me is the second-hardest trophy to win (Stanley Cup being the hardest).

The Warriors are extremely dangerous because they're the hottest team in the league right now (winning 9 out of their last 10), and can play loose.  That one loss was to the Spurs in a rout -- I bet the Mavs scouts and coaches will look at that DVD.

It's great for the NBA to have a team with a loyal fan base like those in the Bay Area in the playoffs.  I wish them all the best in the future, but the Mavs time is now.  

by dirk41 on Apr 19, 2007 11:49 AM CDT reply reply actions actions   0 recs

from a gsom member...
thanks for the classy post, dirk41, but i hope we put a stop to your dreams.  ;)

re the main post, congrats on coming up with excuses for all three losses this season.  maybe you should work on explaining away the losses last season too?  

you might want to come up with excuses now to get eliminated in round 1, too - just in case!

haha, go warriors!  

by big things on Apr 19, 2007 1:51 PM CDT to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Comments For This Post Are Closed


User Tools

Welcome to the SB Nation blog about the Dallas Mavericks.
Start posting about the Mavericks »

Join SB Nation and dive into communities focused on all your favorite teams.

FanPosts

Community blog posts and discussion.

Recent FanPosts

Small
Marion deal done ...
Small
Mavs Roster
Small
An option not being talked about...
Small
The Mavs must love Cholet Basket: Beaubois, Gelabale and Rigaudeau...
Small
Mavs trade for Marion?
Mormon-mantis_small
Rumor: Mavs are negotiating a sign-and-trade for Shawn Marion.
Roge_small
2009 Dallas Mavericks Summer League Roster
Dirkn_270_060605_small
Let's Give Donnie and Cuban a Little Credit Here...
New_20joker_20poster_20for_20_the_20dark_20knight__small
Mav’s 2009/2010 what’s really the plan?
Small
Marcin Gortat

Post_icon New FanPost All FanPosts Carrot-mini

Ad

SPONSORS


Manager

436_small Wes Cox

Edtiors

Small Jakedfw

Mavsmoneyball_small Toddy