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Around SBN: Explaining Jeremy Lin's Early, Surprising Success

My New Favorite NBA Site

Yeah, I'm a stat geek, so bear with me--do yourself a favor and check out NBAstuffer.com. There are some incredibly cool analysis being done there that looks at teams and players in some interesting ways. Heck, you have to love a site where every day they predict who is going to win that night's games based on their analysis. My first glance at the predictions actually made me do a double-take: Their statistical model predicted Toronto would beat Detroit. I was wondering whether they were insane when, what do you know, Toronto beat Detroit. That rocks.

There's also an ever-increasing library of research articles. Here are some Mavs-related highlights:

On the front page there is a team trends table

  • The Mavs have been the most improved team on defense in the entire league over the past five games.
  • We have also been one of the teams declining the most on offense over the past five games.

In an article on defense
  • This season, Dallas has been the third worst team in the league at defending opposing point guards.
  • We have also been the ninth worst at defending opposing centers.
Hey, didn't we just trade a point guard and center?
  • On the positive tip, we are the fourth best at defending shooting guards.
  • We are also the sixth best at defending small forwards.
Overall, our defense is seventh in the league and, as mentioned, trending stronger dramatically.

Anyway, do yourself a favor and check it out. It very much underscores my biggest reason for optimism heading into the playoffs: With Kidd on board our defense has gone from slightly above average to dominant.

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Interesting...
Looking at the Trades working out article there, it says that Devin has worked out better than Kidd by a far margin, but yet the PER ratings on Harris have gone down and Kidd's have gone up.  Interesting to say the least, because Harris's numbers are all up, and Kidd's are all down so that surprises me that their respective PER ratings would be in different directions.

Great link and post Jake.

by Toddy on Mar 27, 2008 12:50 AM CDT reply actions  

Usage rate
The nets are completely giving the reins to Devin right now. Since the ball is in his hands much more than when he was in Dallas, his numbers are going to go up, but that doesn't necessarily mean he is more efficient of a PG than he was in Avery's system.

On the flip side, Kidd's higher PER is deceiving because he hasn't had the ball in his hands as much as when he was with NJN, and he is still putting up somewhat similar numbers, which makes him seem more efficient, even though we all know we'd rather have the less efficient Kidd that had several triple doubles in his time with the nets this season.

by Turkish41 on Mar 27, 2008 9:06 AM CDT reply actions  

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