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Revisiting Last Years Player Predictions

I almost forgot about these...

Before last season I put up a few posts to predict selected stats for Dirk, Dampier, and Jason Terry. Here are the predictions and the actual results to see how close we came.

Dirk Nowitzki
PPG RPG APG
Prediction 26.6 10.4 4.2
Actual 24.6 8.9 3.4
Diff. -2 -1.5 -0.8


Erick Dampier
PPG RPG BPG Starts
Prediction 6.8 8.7 1.4 20
Actual 7.1 7.4 1.1 73
Diff. +0.3 -1.3 -0.3 +53


Jason Terry
PPG APG 3PA PG
Prediction 18.4 3.6 5
Actual 16.7 5.2 4.6
Diff. -1.7 +1.6 -0.4


Dirk managed to win the MVP while putting up worse numbers than we predicted.

Obviously, none of us knew what to think of Dampier. My girlfriend actually came closest on the number of games he would start with 53, but that was just an uninformed guess. I think our underestimating Dampier's start totals had a lot more to do with expecting big things from Diop than being down on Dampier. The fact that we were pretty close with the stats backs that up. I wish I had done a prediction thread for Diop too...

We really weren't too great with Terry either. It looks like most of us thought his transition to SG would result in a career low in assists. Instead, he struggled at SG to start the season and ended up spending more time at PG -- actually having better numbers than in the 05-06 season.

I'm going to start doing prediction posts for all players tomorrow, so hopefully we can do a little bit better this time around.