After being down big all game, the Dallas Mavericks nearly pulled off a wild backdoor cover in Game 1. All it would’ve taken was that garbage-time Spencer Dinwiddie three to drop. Alas, here we are heading into Game 2. Let’s look at some odds and figure out the best plays.
Spread: Mavs +6 (-110)
Moneyline: Mavs +205
I’m going to follow my general rule of thumb here: Always bet on Luka Doncic to cover a six-point spread. Maybe the Mavs will pull out a road win, maybe they’ll go down 0-2 in the series. Either way, I just don’t feel right about advising anyone to bet against Luka. The guy had 45 points in Game 1 and didn’t even look that great. There’s room to grow.
Advice: Take the Mavs to cover the spread.
Game 1 hit the over with ease, but tonight, I see things going differently. In Game 1, the teams were still feeling each other out and there was a lot of garbage-time offense. Tonight, I’m expecting the game to be played in the halfcourt and the offense to come slowly.
Advice: Go with the under.
Two-Team Moneyline Parlay
Mavs and Heat: +281
We’re limited with options here.
With no Joel Embiid, the Sixers are a completely different team — one that probably can’t beat the Heat. At home in Miami, I like the Heat tonight. The problem is they’re such heavy favorites (-400) that they’re not adding much value to the parlay.
Advice: I don’t feel good about this one, and the odds aren’t good enough to sprinkle anything. Stay away.