The Dallas Mavericks are set to host the Los Angeles Clippers in just a few hours at the AAC. Let’s take a quick look at this one to see if we can find some betting value. The Mavs are returning from a quick two-game road trip that saw a shootout win in Portland and a reality check in Denver. The Clippers are feeling good about themselves as they are on an 8-game win streak and have won 13 of their last 16. Dallas is without four key players (Irving, Lively, Green, Kleber) while LA is potentially without Paul George due to an illness - expect that to be a game-time decision.
Fixture: Los Angeles Clippers vs Dallas Mavericks | NBA 2023-2024
Date and Time: Wednesday, December 20th, 2023; 7:30 PM CST
Venue: American Airlines Center, Dallas, TX.
- Spread: Clippers -2 (-112)
- O/U 236.5
- Mavs ML: +110
Luka Doncic seems to emerge with red laser eyes anytime the Clippers step onto his home court. If Lively was set to go in this one, I would be much more bullish on a positive outcome for Dallas. As it stands, expect a shootout. If Dallas can hit their outside shots at a high clip, this game could see both teams creep into the 120s. Consider taking the Over 236.5.
- Derrick Jones Jr. over 1.5 three-pointers made (-115)
The splits for Jones beyond the arc are distinct. On the road, a clunky sub-30 percent mark on 2.8 attempts. Back in the friendly confines of the AAC? A sparkling 41.5 percent on 4.1 attempts per game. I trust Jones to get to two in this one more than the other two players DraftKings has listed at 1.5 3PM - Exum and Williams.
Play of the Day
- Kawhi Leonard over 40.5 PRA (points/rebounds/assists)
The Clippers are playing like a team that knows their window is closing. Leonard is spearheading that effort. After averaging 19 points in the October games to start the season and 24 points in November, he is scoring just shy of 30 points a game in December. Combine that heater he is clearly on with two other factors: a road-dominant scoring split (22 ppg at home, 26 ppg on the road) and news that Paul George may be out for this one. Take Leonard on the PRA wagon play at over 40.5.